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  • 12-Apr-10 12:53 | anonymous
    The root cause is the low interest rate. It gave the impression that the high property prices are still affordable. At an interest rate of 2% on a property of $500,000 payable over 30 years, the monthly installment looks affordable at $1,966 a month. If interest rate increases to 5%, which is a more realistic level, the monthly installment increases by 31% to $2,581. Many people cannot afford this type of increase on a tight budget. But, it will come. Low interest rate cannot continue forever.

    Look at it from another angle. The property prices should have been 30% lower, to be realistic based on the affordability of the population. During a period of low interest rate, the property developers increase the price and their marketing approach was to convince the buyer that it is affordable. It took a while for the buyers to buy into this thinking. The foreign buyers enter into the picture and started to move the property market.

    This is followed by the speculators who see the chance to make a big profit. They buy the properties at the prevailing prices and expect to make a big profit by flipping over the properties on resale. Their demand pushes up the price. More people jump into the fray. This is called the "greed" factor.

    The next batch of buyers are from the genuine end users who buy the prices at inflated value because they were afraid that they would increase further and be out of their financial reach. They jumped in and accept the high prices. This is called the "fear" factor. This is how the low interest rate could increase the property prices by 30%. 

    The next level of increase comes from stretching the repayment period from the prudent level of 20 years to a more risky level of 30 years. It accounts for another 23% of increase. So, it is possible for the property prices to be 60% higher than the affordable level. The high property prices mean that most households are spending too much of their money on their homes, leaving less money for other types of spending and for their retirement.

    Are high property prices sustainable? Just look at what happened to Japan 20 years ago. The crash of the property market put the economy in the doldrums for 20 years. Look at what is happening in America and UK today. They will suffer the same fate.  Do you think that Singapore will be any diffferent?



    This is a post from our very own FiSCA's president, Mr Tan Kin Lian, who has his own blog here. The original post can be found here.

    If you want to be a guest writer, or if you have a story to share that will help our readers understand financial matters better, please contact us.

  • 11-Apr-10 21:36 | anonymous
    Read today’s Sunday Times and came across a sloppy piece of article by a senior journalist.

    It referred to research by the Investment Management Association of Singapore (imas) and said that it discusses “cash, shares, bonds and unit trust.”

    It later referred to the average annual return of the different categories as:

     

    Shares              9.31%

    Cash                 5.35%

    Bond                 7.38%

    Commodities  7.11%

    When I saw that, I nearly fell out of my chair. You mean the money I have in my pocket will grow 5.35% without doing anything? And the journalist nicely put inflation as averaging 2.9% over the same period. You mean Singapore dollar can outrun inflation?

    I just went online to the imas site to see the research in question. It stated on page 20 of their Personal Investing booklet that “Cash is a safe and liquid asset. However, you do not earn a return if it sits in a box under your bed.” I breathed a sigh of relief that at least the booklet is stating what should be pretty obvious to anyone writing on financial matters.

    It also gives the definition of what cash-equivalent is, “…are instruments that are almost as liquid and safe as cash which also provide some return. These instruments are known as cash equivalents,”

    So what are the categories of cash equivalents? They are:

    • savings and interest bearing checking accounts
    • fixed or term deposits accounts
    • certificates of deposits (minimum of $250,000)

    I am not sure of this, but I would have thought that money market funds provided by some brokerages here should qualify as cash equivalent, but then what do I know.

    On page 24 of the same booklet, it goes on to give the reason why you should invest in shares, which is what was published in Sunday Times, but with an important difference. It stated “Cash Equivalent” and not what the article in the Sunday Times stated as “Cash.”

    You may argue that it is a matter of semantics. But in this case, when you are publishing to millions of readers, you have the responsibility of making sure what you are writing about makes sense. Else there maybe gullible readers who will think, “Hey, I don’t have to invest, since my cash will grow 5.35% annually.”

    Cash is NOT Cash Equivalent.

     

    Source:

    1. Introduction to Personal Investing by imas

    2. Making Sense of Financial Jargon By Lorna Tan Sunday Times 11 April 2010


    ------------------------------

    This is a post from our guest writer Lemizeraq who runs the website Financial Freedom SG. The original post can be found here.

    If you want to be a guest writer as well, or if you have a story to share that will help our readers understand financial matters better, please contact us.
  • 11-Apr-10 11:17 | anonymous
    We know that it is possible to make a lot of money, by using other people's money and buy what you cannot afford on your own. See here on how a secondary school teacher became a property speculator.

    While this strategy would appear easy for some, and risky for others, I am not trying to "speculate" on how good or how bad this strategy can be for you. As always, you will need to decide that for yourself.

    The teacher here thinks that he has done his homework and the risk is acceptable for him. That is what you need to do as well for any investment, speculative or otherwise.

    We might know people who has made a lot of money by using this "borrow and buy" strategy. What you may not have heard of is the others who borrow and lost, sometimes losing their job, their home and ultimately, their family.

    Think for yourself. Understand what is speculation and what is investment. Make sure you can bear the consequences of your strategy.
  • 09-Apr-10 10:55 | anonymous
    Financial planning normally focuses on the financial aspects of your life, e.g. how much you have, how much you want to make, what is your risk appetite... It rarely focuses on what you actually want out of life.

    This article explores the 3 questions that you should ask yourself before even embarking on a financial planning. The main point here is this:
    When you understand what you want to do with your life, you can make financial choices that reflect your values.
    Choose wisely on what you do with your finances. Have it reflect your own values, not somebody else's.
  • 08-Apr-10 23:51 | anonymous

    I have received a letter from CDP saying that bonus shares from Breadtalk has been credited to my account. It is a ratio of 1 bonus share for every 5 shares you have.

    For those who don’t know, bonus shares are given when a company does well and want to reward its investors. Instead of giving out dividends, it gives out bonuses and gets to keep more of its profits within the company for expansion plans. Some companies offer a mix of bonus shares and dividends, or gives you the option of dividends or more shares like what OCBC did for last year.

    For investors, as long as the expansion plans of the company meets or exceeds expectations, its share prices will rise.

    So technically, the value of Breadtalk holdings have gone up by 20% within one day.

    But I would expect that its shares will be going down a bit after it has been issued to all shareholders, as some of the shareholders will normally sell the bonus issue to get some funds.

    The issuance of bonus shares is yet another reason why buying stocks is one of the best investment one can make.

    Aside from “free lunch” while eating at Food Republic, Din Tai Fung or the bread sold at Breadtalk, since they all belong to the Breadtalk group :) So who says that there is no such thing as a free lunch?

    ------------------------------

    This is a post from our guest writer Lemizeraq who runs the website Financial Freedom SG. The original post can be found here.

    If you want to be a guest writer as well, or if you have a story to share that will help our readers understand financial matters better, please contact us.



  • 08-Apr-10 11:50 | anonymous
    We are glad to announce that FiSCA is now on Facebook to make it easier for our readers to follow us. Click here to "fan" us.
  • 07-Apr-10 14:59 | anonymous
    8 May 2010, from 3pm to 6pm.

    Note this down in your diary. Put it in your calendar. Register now for a talk on financial planning - a practical approach. It's free to all FiSCA members. Also, a free copy of the Practical Guide on Financial Planning book will be given out to all members who attend the talk.

    The public is welcome to join in as well. Public participation fee is $30. For this event only, the public who attends the talk will also get a copy of the Practical Guide on Financial Planning book worth $12.

    Why wait? Members, register now!

    Details of the talk can be found here.
  • 07-Apr-10 10:27 | anonymous member
    Too bad if you turn 55 on or after 1 Jan 2013. Only the Special and Ordinary Account balance can be withdrawn after setting aside both the CPF Minimum Sum and Medisave Minimum Sum. The CPF Minimum Sum for members turning 55 between 1 Jul 09 to 30 Jun 2010 is $117,000. The Board announces the CPF Minimum Sum figure (adjusted for inflation) in June each year.

    But if you turn 55 in 2010, 2011 or 2012, you can withdraw the following percentages even if you do not have the minimum sum (now at $117,000)

    The Day You Turn 55                        Applicable Withdrawal Rule (%)

    1 Jan 2010 -31 Dec 2010                       30%

    1 Jan 2011 - 31 Dec 2011                      20%

    1 Jan 2012 - 31 Dec 2012                      10%

    The CPF keeps this amount in your Ordinary CPF account and you can withdraw it at any time as the law now stands. Example -- If you turn 55 in 2010 and have $60,000 in the SA, only $42,000 will be transferred into your Retirement Account. The Balance $18,000 will be paid into your Ordinary Account.

    In any case, if you have more than the minimum sum, you can withdraw the balance in one lump sum or you can keep it in the Ordinary Account, and enjoy the 2.5% interest rate. According to the CPF Board, you can withdraw this at your discretion.

  • 07-Apr-10 10:23 | anonymous
    Even though he's wearing a typical shirt and pants, with a backpack hung over his shoulders, it still seems like I am riding on the MRT with a celebrity. Mr Tan Kin Lian, who is also the President of FiSCA, walks quicker than I do. I had to keep up...

    We talked a little bit about everything. Gossips, politics, bicycles, companies... It seems like I was riding with a typical friend, and yet, he was the CEO of NTUC Income for 30 years.

    I personally have a foldable bike, which I ride to places and come home in the MRT if I were too tired to ride home. It will be good if we see more leaders taking the MRT. Leaders who do this show in a very concrete way that they believe the transportation system in Singapore works. It is quicker getting to certain places, and with the Circle Line opening up, it is definitely getting more efficient. It is also much cheaper than owning and maintaining a car, making good financial sense. Plus, you walk to places, giving you some exercise, rather than getting frustrated in a traffic jam where the only muscle you exercise is your jaw muscle, while you curse and swear at other drivers...

    If you are reading this right now, urge your boss to take the MRT. Have a public transport day at work. Your wallet will thank you for it. The environment will thank you for it. If not for those reasons, it is always nice to see your boss in a different light. Your boss will not feel like a boss in the MRT. He is after all, a human being, just like the rest of us. :)

    Here's what Mr. Tan has to say,
    "I find it more fun to use the MRT rather than to drive a car. I do not
    have to worry about driving or congested roads or to look for a
    parking space. It does take longer to take the train, but this can be
    accommodated by leaving home earlier."
  • 06-Apr-10 09:08 | anonymous member

    Under the CPF Life schemes, from age 65, you will get the following amounts monthly (until you die) if you have $20,000 or $40,000 in your retirement account (RA).

    Plan Type

    LIFE Basic

    LIFE Balanced

    LIFE Plus

    LIFE Income

    RA Balance

    of $20,000

    $172 - $188

    $183 - $200

    $193 - $211

    $206 - $224

    RA Balance

    of $40,000

    $339 - $371

    $362 - $396

    $382 - $419

    $408 - $444


    Click here for more details of each plan (provided by CPF).

    Under the minimum sum scheme*, from aged 65 you will be paid these amounts monthly until the money runs out (last column).

    Amount($)      Monthly($)        Number of months

    20,000             250                       184 (15+ yrs)

    40,000            356 - 333                  (27+ yrs)

     *The minimum sum scheme remains the default option for those born before 1 January 1958. This means they have to opt in to one of the CPF Life plans.

    Note all calculations based on CPF calculators.


     

     

 

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